Bill Morris: July 2010

Variations in Austin-area Market Health

Yesterday I wrote about the Austin/Central Texas markets for new homes and for existing homes:

I commented about the general health of the Austin Metro real estate market, with an average of just 70 days on the market.

That average statistic hides huge variation, and Days On Market is just one measure of market velocity:

Austin-area Market Velocity 07-28-10

Note that in the overall market that averages 70 days on market, we have residential market segments ranging from 40 to 98 days on market -- 145% variation!

When lot/land listings are added, the variation is even more extreme:  from 31 days to 219 days on market.

As an even more dramatic depiction of the variations of market health in this small sample of  segments within the Austin/Central Texas real estate market, consider the supply/demand picture.  At one end of the market, we have an important part of the Southwest Austin market (Area SWW) where existing inventory represents a 3.5 month supply -- decidedly a seller's market.  At the other extreme, the market for 1/2 to 1 acre lots along the north shore of Lake Travis but without lake frontage, current listing inventory will last almost 8 years based on current demand!

As I have pointed out before it is interesting, and sometimes even instructive, to compare market averages nationally and within regions, states, and metro areas.  However, averages always obscure important details.

The data in the table above is a very small sample, and just one way to slice the Austin-area market.  There are probably even more extreme examples of fast-moving and horribly over-supplied market segments, but I have included some where I have been working lately.  The important point is:  When you read about the health of a local or regional real estate market, do not assume that all properties compete in the same market conditions.  This kind of market knowledge and market analysis is an important reason -- whether you're buying or selling -- to have an experienced real estate professional representing your interests in any property transaction.

Bill F. Morris, ABR, CRS, CDPE, e-PRO, MBA
RE/MAX Capital City
Call or Text:       512-785-3345
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Comment balloon 1 commentBill Morris • July 28 2010 08:58PM
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