Bill Morris: Austin Market Dashboard - updated

Austin Market Dashboard - updated

Followers of my blog know that I have not been keeping up with this space over the past several weeks -- a testament to the busy-ness of the Austin/Central Texas real estate market. Amidst continuing discouragement from national news reports, our local economy is growing and creating jobs, and the real estate market is moving well as a result. I have posted a complete discussion at, but I'll offer a couple of highlights here. First, for three consecutive months -- July, August, and September -- 2011 home sales were up more than 30% compared to the same months in 2010:

Year-Over-Year Unit Sales Change

That is good news, especially considering that this is the first year in three years in which seasonal sales patterns were not distorted by temporary tax incentives aimed at encouraging home purchases. Second, although sales and average prices have dipped recently those changes represent very typical seasonal market behavior. The market indicator that I find more meaningful is the absorption rate, or "odds of selling":

Odds of Selling 1990-Present

That absorption rate has dipped over the past couple of months too, but this is the fiirst time since 2005 that we have seen this metric bouncing around the long-term average of 21% rather than a much lower level. With continuing uncertainties in the U.S. political and economic scene, and in the world economy, these Winter months may remain a little soft, but if history is an indication then we are poised to enter a new growth phase in the local real estate market. Feel free to visit for more detail and discussion, or just call or text or email me if you have any questions.

Bill F. Morris, ABR, CRS, CDPE, e-PRO, MBA
RE/MAX Capital City
Call or Text:       512-785-3345
Toll-Free:           1-800-692-8784, x 162

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Comment balloon 2 commentsBill Morris • November 05 2011 12:41PM


Bill , this is very, very good information about your market dashboard. It gives me a good idea as to what the rest of the Country outside of California is dealing with.. Thank you for sharing..

Posted by James Muhammad, RE/MAX Vision (RE/MAX Champions) over 8 years ago

James, thank you for your comment.  I hope you turn the corner soon in CA, too. 

Posted by Bill Morris, ABR, CRS, CDPE, ePRO, MBA (RE/MAX Capital City) over 8 years ago